Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.044931 0.052386 0.060575 0.070224 0.081264 0.093484 0.108019
2025-06-08 0.032807 0.042302 0.053703 0.068336 0.086546 0.108387 0.136483
2025-06-15 0.026936 0.037901 0.052110 0.071718 0.097895 0.131434 0.177423
2025-06-22 0.021586 0.032885 0.048572 0.071665 0.104462 0.148972 0.213457
2025-06-29 0.017159 0.028138 0.044374 0.069726 0.107791 0.162163 0.244852
2025-07-06 0.014087 0.024715 0.041369 0.068792 0.112066 0.176749 0.279407
2025-07-13 0.012652 0.023559 0.041533 0.072524 0.123563 0.202859 0.333333
2025-07-20 0.011270 0.022203 0.041097 0.075108 0.133385 0.227207 0.386770
2025-07-27 0.009457 0.019726 0.038345 0.073337 0.135700 0.239689 0.422366
2025-08-03 0.008122 0.017881 0.036393 0.072606 0.139540 0.254812 0.463402
2025-08-10 0.006827 0.015864 0.033789 0.070272 0.140155 0.264347 0.495624
2025-08-17 0.005840 0.014291 0.031784 0.068747 0.141963 0.275954 0.532225
2025-08-24 0.005156 0.013268 0.030766 0.069094 0.147483 0.295000 0.584348
2025-08-31 0.004391 0.011908 0.028834 0.067315 0.148647 0.306120 0.623020
2025-09-07 0.004121 0.011682 0.029325 0.070693 0.160529 0.338578 0.704469
2025-09-14 0.003648 0.010849 0.028317 0.070661 0.165331 0.357696 0.761916
2025-09-21 0.003127 0.009782 0.026589 0.068758 0.165899 0.368390 0.803667
2025-09-28 0.002736 0.008979 0.025366 0.067841 0.168477 0.383328 0.855063
2025-10-05 0.002617 0.008933 0.026031 0.071528 0.181778 0.421679 0.957347
2025-10-12 0.002453 0.008718 0.026228 0.074081 0.192721 0.455894 1.053585
2025-10-19 0.002132 0.007943 0.024802 0.072333 0.193339 0.467799 1.103417
2025-10-26 0.001890 0.007366 0.023826 0.071612 0.196325 0.485131 1.166236
2025-11-02 0.001626 0.006654 0.022339 0.069307 0.195128 0.492891 1.208547